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Tuesday, September 30, 2003


Iraq casualties by monthly graph
Dale Amon at Samizdata has graphed the figures of deaths of American personnel in Iraq. He concludes,

1. March and April are clearly the period of major combat.

2. May is a postcombat month. Remnants of the regime are dispersed and disorganized. There are a lot of dangerous ordinance laying about. Soldiers are tired, ease up slightly and have more accidents because of it.

3. June through the present is a period of low intensity conflict. One can read the state of the opposing forces in the short-lived secondary peak followed by a long tail off. That tail-off is their journey into oblivion.
That seems about right to me. Deaths by hostile action have been dropping since the beginning of July. Nothing succeeds like success, and as the masses of Iraqi men and women are persuaded that we are there to win, they will increasingly give us their support against the dead-enders and al Qaeda terrorists who have come there (also see here) from other countries.

by Donald Sensing, 9/30/2003 09:32:12 PM. Permalink |  




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